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Why Zhuzhou Tianqiao Crane's (SZSE:002523) Shaky Earnings Are Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

なぜ株式会社株式会社株式会社株式会社株式会社株式会社株式会社株式会社株式会社株式会社株式会社株式会社株式会社株式会社株式の Zhuzhou ティエンチャオクレーンの (SZSE: 002523)揺らめく収益は、その問題の始まりにすぎないのだろうか

Simply Wall St ·  04/20 22:47

Zhuzhou Tianqiao Crane Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002523) earnings announcement last week contained some soft numbers, disappointing investors. We did some digging and think there are some comforting factors lying beneath the statutory profit numbers.

earnings-and-revenue-history
SZSE:002523 Earnings and Revenue History April 21st 2024

Examining Cashflow Against Zhuzhou Tianqiao Crane's Earnings

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

Over the twelve months to December 2023, Zhuzhou Tianqiao Crane recorded an accrual ratio of -0.14. That indicates that its free cash flow was a fair bit more than its statutory profit. To wit, it produced free cash flow of CN¥309m during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of CN¥37.3m. Zhuzhou Tianqiao Crane's free cash flow improved over the last year, which is generally good to see. Having said that, there is more to the story. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Zhuzhou Tianqiao Crane.

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

Surprisingly, given Zhuzhou Tianqiao Crane's accrual ratio implied strong cash conversion, its paper profit was actually boosted by CN¥18m in unusual items. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. Zhuzhou Tianqiao Crane had a rather significant contribution from unusual items relative to its profit to December 2023. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items are making its statutory profit significantly stronger than it would otherwise be.

Our Take On Zhuzhou Tianqiao Crane's Profit Performance

Zhuzhou Tianqiao Crane's profits got a boost from unusual items, which indicates they might not be sustained and yet its accrual ratio still indicated solid cash conversion, which is promising. Having considered these factors, we don't think Zhuzhou Tianqiao Crane's statutory profits give an overly harsh view of the business. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Zhuzhou Tianqiao Crane (1 is potentially serious) you should be familiar with.

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, as a guide to a business. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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