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Saimo Technology Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300466) May Have Run Too Fast Too Soon With Recent 35% Price Plummet

Saimo Technology株式会社(SZSE:300466)は、最近35%の価格下落であまりにも早く走りすぎた可能性があります。

Simply Wall St ·  04/21 20:43

The Saimo Technology Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300466) share price has softened a substantial 35% over the previous 30 days, handing back much of the gains the stock has made lately. Looking at the bigger picture, even after this poor month the stock is up 28% in the last year.

Although its price has dipped substantially, you could still be forgiven for thinking Saimo TechnologyLtd is a stock not worth researching with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 4.5x, considering almost half the companies in China's Machinery industry have P/S ratios below 2.5x. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300466 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 22nd 2024

How Has Saimo TechnologyLtd Performed Recently?

Revenue has risen at a steady rate over the last year for Saimo TechnologyLtd, which is generally not a bad outcome. It might be that many expect the reasonable revenue performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors' willingness to pay up for the stock. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Saimo TechnologyLtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Saimo TechnologyLtd?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as Saimo TechnologyLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 4.1% last year. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see revenue up by 53% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 24% shows it's noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we find it concerning that Saimo TechnologyLtd is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From Saimo TechnologyLtd's P/S?

Despite the recent share price weakness, Saimo TechnologyLtd's P/S remains higher than most other companies in the industry. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

The fact that Saimo TechnologyLtd currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 2 warning signs for Saimo TechnologyLtd that you should be aware of.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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