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Saimo Technology Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300466) Shares May Have Slumped 35% But Getting In Cheap Is Still Unlikely

Saimo Technology株式会社(SZSE:300466)の株価は35%下落したかもしれませんが、安く買える可能性はまだ低いです。

Simply Wall St ·  04/21 20:41

Saimo Technology Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300466) shares have retraced a considerable 35% in the last month, reversing a fair amount of their solid recent performance. Still, a bad month hasn't completely ruined the past year with the stock gaining 28%, which is great even in a bull market.

Even after such a large drop in price, when almost half of the companies in China's Machinery industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.5x, you may still consider Saimo TechnologyLtd as a stock probably not worth researching with its 4.5x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300466 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 22nd 2024

What Does Saimo TechnologyLtd's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Saimo TechnologyLtd has been doing a decent job lately as it's been growing revenue at a reasonable pace. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this good revenue growth will be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Saimo TechnologyLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Saimo TechnologyLtd?

Saimo TechnologyLtd's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 4.1% gain to the company's revenues. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see revenue up by 53% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenues over that time.

Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 24% shows it's noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we find it concerning that Saimo TechnologyLtd is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

What We Can Learn From Saimo TechnologyLtd's P/S?

Despite the recent share price weakness, Saimo TechnologyLtd's P/S remains higher than most other companies in the industry. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our examination of Saimo TechnologyLtd revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. When we see slower than industry revenue growth but an elevated P/S, there's considerable risk of the share price declining, sending the P/S lower. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term performance, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.

Plus, you should also learn about these 2 warning signs we've spotted with Saimo TechnologyLtd.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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