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Yunnan Bowin Technology IndustryLtd's (SHSE:600883) Solid Earnings May Rest On Weak Foundations

雲南寶銀テクノロジー産業株式会社(SHSE:600883)の安定した収益は、弱い基盤に基づいている可能性があります。

Simply Wall St ·  04/22 20:58

Yunnan Bowin Technology Industry Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:600883) healthy profit numbers didn't contain any surprises for investors. We think this is due to investors looking beyond the statutory profits and being concerned with what they see.

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SHSE:600883 Earnings and Revenue History April 23rd 2024

Zooming In On Yunnan Bowin Technology IndustryLtd's Earnings

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

Over the twelve months to December 2023, Yunnan Bowin Technology IndustryLtd recorded an accrual ratio of 0.20. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, which is hardly a good thing. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of CN¥38m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of CN¥96.2m. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥38m, this year, indicates high risk. However, that's not all there is to consider. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Yunnan Bowin Technology IndustryLtd.

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

The fact that the company had unusual items boosting profit by CN¥5.2m, in the last year, probably goes some way to explain why its accrual ratio was so weak. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. Assuming those unusual items don't show up again in the current year, we'd thus expect profit to be weaker next year (in the absence of business growth, that is).

Our Take On Yunnan Bowin Technology IndustryLtd's Profit Performance

Yunnan Bowin Technology IndustryLtd had a weak accrual ratio, but its profit did receive a boost from unusual items. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at Yunnan Bowin Technology IndustryLtd's statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Yunnan Bowin Technology IndustryLtd at this point in time. Be aware that Yunnan Bowin Technology IndustryLtd is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis and 1 of those shouldn't be ignored...

Our examination of Yunnan Bowin Technology IndustryLtd has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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