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There May Be Underlying Issues With The Quality Of Shandong Publishing&MediaLtd's (SHSE:601019) Earnings

山東省出版メディア株式会社(SHSE:601019)の利益には根本的な問題がある可能性があります。

Simply Wall St ·  04/25 18:42

Despite posting some strong earnings, the market for Shandong Publishing&Media Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:601019) stock hasn't moved much. Our analysis suggests that this might be because shareholders have noticed some concerning underlying factors.

earnings-and-revenue-history
SHSE:601019 Earnings and Revenue History April 25th 2024

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

Importantly, our data indicates that Shandong Publishing&MediaLtd's profit received a boost of CN¥274m in unusual items, over the last year. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. If Shandong Publishing&MediaLtd doesn't see that contribution repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to drop over the current year.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

An Unusual Tax Situation

Having already discussed the impact of the unusual items, we should also note that Shandong Publishing&MediaLtd received a tax benefit of CN¥274m. This is meaningful because companies usually pay tax rather than receive tax benefits. The receipt of a tax benefit is obviously a good thing, on its own. However, the devil in the detail is that these kind of benefits only impact in the year they are booked, and are often one-off in nature. In the likely event the tax benefit is not repeated, we'd expect to see its statutory profit levels drop, at least in the absence of strong growth.

Our Take On Shandong Publishing&MediaLtd's Profit Performance

In the last year Shandong Publishing&MediaLtd received a tax benefit, which boosted its profit in a way that might not be much more sustainable than turning prime farmland into gas fields. And on top of that, it also saw an unusual item boost its profit, suggesting that next year might see a lower profit number, if these events are not repeated. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at Shandong Publishing&MediaLtd's statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. For example, we've found that Shandong Publishing&MediaLtd has 2 warning signs (1 can't be ignored!) that deserve your attention before going any further with your analysis.

Our examination of Shandong Publishing&MediaLtd has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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