Anhui Honglu Steel Construction(Group) CO., LTD (SZSE:002541) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 26% after a shaky period beforehand. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 41% in the last twelve months.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, Anhui Honglu Steel Construction(Group) may still be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 11x, since almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios greater than 31x and even P/E's higher than 58x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.
Anhui Honglu Steel Construction(Group) hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to get any better. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
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Does Growth Match The Low P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Anhui Honglu Steel Construction(Group) would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the market.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 1.5%. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 24% overall rise in EPS. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the earnings growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 12% each year over the next three years. With the market predicted to deliver 20% growth per year, the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.
With this information, we can see why Anhui Honglu Steel Construction(Group) is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
The Final Word
Even after such a strong price move, Anhui Honglu Steel Construction(Group)'s P/E still trails the rest of the market significantly. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that Anhui Honglu Steel Construction(Group) maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 3 warning signs for Anhui Honglu Steel Construction(Group) (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
If you're unsure about the strength of Anhui Honglu Steel Construction(Group)'s business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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