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Some Investors May Be Willing To Look Past YAPP Automotive Systems' (SHSE:603013) Soft Earnings

YAPP Automotive Systems (SHSE:603013)の収益が低迷しているとしても、一部の投資家はそれを見逃すことができるかもしれません。

Simply Wall St ·  05/03 19:32

Soft earnings didn't appear to concern YAPP Automotive Systems Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:603013) shareholders over the last week. We think that the softer headline numbers might be getting counterbalanced by some positive underlying factors.

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SHSE:603013 Earnings and Revenue History May 3rd 2024

Examining Cashflow Against YAPP Automotive Systems' Earnings

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

Over the twelve months to March 2024, YAPP Automotive Systems recorded an accrual ratio of -0.18. That implies it has very good cash conversion, and that its earnings in the last year actually significantly understate its free cash flow. To wit, it produced free cash flow of CN¥914m during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of CN¥468.2m. YAPP Automotive Systems shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months. Having said that, there is more to the story. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of YAPP Automotive Systems.

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

YAPP Automotive Systems' profit was reduced by unusual items worth CN¥84m in the last twelve months, and this helped it produce high cash conversion, as reflected by its unusual items. This is what you'd expect to see where a company has a non-cash charge reducing paper profits. It's never great to see unusual items costing the company profits, but on the upside, things might improve sooner rather than later. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And that's hardly a surprise given these line items are considered unusual. If YAPP Automotive Systems doesn't see those unusual expenses repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to increase over the coming year.

Our Take On YAPP Automotive Systems' Profit Performance

Considering both YAPP Automotive Systems' accrual ratio and its unusual items, we think its statutory earnings are unlikely to exaggerate the company's underlying earnings power. Looking at all these factors, we'd say that YAPP Automotive Systems' underlying earnings power is at least as good as the statutory numbers would make it seem. If you want to do dive deeper into YAPP Automotive Systems, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. For example - YAPP Automotive Systems has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

After our examination into the nature of YAPP Automotive Systems' profit, we've come away optimistic for the company. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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