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Fujian Yongan Forestry(Group)Ltd's (SZSE:000663) Soft Earnings Don't Show The Whole Picture

福建永安林業(集團)股份有限公司(深交所:000663)のソフトな収益は全体像を示していない

Simply Wall St ·  05/06 18:31

Soft earnings didn't appear to concern Fujian Yongan Forestry(Group)Joint-Stock Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:000663) shareholders over the last week. We think that the softer headline numbers might be getting counterbalanced by some positive underlying factors.

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SZSE:000663 Earnings and Revenue History May 6th 2024

A Closer Look At Fujian Yongan Forestry(Group)Ltd's Earnings

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

For the year to March 2024, Fujian Yongan Forestry(Group)Ltd had an accrual ratio of 0.29. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow was a lot less than its statutory profit, which makes us doubt the utility of profit as a guide. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥126.9m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥143m in the last year. It's worth noting that Fujian Yongan Forestry(Group)Ltd generated positive FCF of CN¥400m a year ago, so at least they've done it in the past. Having said that, there is more to the story. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio. The good news for shareholders is that Fujian Yongan Forestry(Group)Ltd's accrual ratio was much better last year, so this year's poor reading might simply be a case of a short term mismatch between profit and FCF. Shareholders should look for improved cashflow relative to profit in the current year, if that is indeed the case.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Fujian Yongan Forestry(Group)Ltd.

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

Fujian Yongan Forestry(Group)Ltd's profit suffered from unusual items, which reduced profit by CN¥66m in the last twelve months. If this was a non-cash charge, it would have made the accrual ratio better, if cashflow had stayed strong, so it's not great to see in combination with an uninspiring accrual ratio. It's never great to see unusual items costing the company profits, but on the upside, things might improve sooner rather than later. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And that's hardly a surprise given these line items are considered unusual. If Fujian Yongan Forestry(Group)Ltd doesn't see those unusual expenses repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to increase over the coming year.

Our Take On Fujian Yongan Forestry(Group)Ltd's Profit Performance

Fujian Yongan Forestry(Group)Ltd saw unusual items weigh on its profit, which should have made it easier to show high cash conversion, which it did not do, according to its accrual ratio. Based on these factors, it's hard to tell if Fujian Yongan Forestry(Group)Ltd's profits are a reasonable reflection of its underlying profitability. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. To help with this, we've discovered 2 warning signs (1 can't be ignored!) that you ought to be aware of before buying any shares in Fujian Yongan Forestry(Group)Ltd.

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, as a guide to a business. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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