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Befar GroupLtd (SHSE:601678) Earnings and Shareholder Returns Have Been Trending Downwards for the Last Five Years, but the Stock Rallies 5.7% This Past Week

Befar GroupLtd(SHSE:601678)の収益と株主還元は過去5年間減少傾向にありましたが、この1週間で株価は5.7%上昇しました。

Simply Wall St ·  05/07 20:33

While not a mind-blowing move, it is good to see that the Befar Group Co.,Ltd (SHSE:601678) share price has gained 11% in the last three months. But over the last half decade, the stock has not performed well. After all, the share price is down 36% in that time, significantly under-performing the market.

On a more encouraging note the company has added CN¥465m to its market cap in just the last 7 days, so let's see if we can determine what's driven the five-year loss for shareholders.

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

Looking back five years, both Befar GroupLtd's share price and EPS declined; the latter at a rate of 14% per year. This fall in the EPS is worse than the 9% compound annual share price fall. So the market may previously have expected a drop, or else it expects the situation will improve.

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

earnings-per-share-growth
SHSE:601678 Earnings Per Share Growth May 8th 2024

Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here.

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for Befar GroupLtd the TSR over the last 5 years was -30%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

We regret to report that Befar GroupLtd shareholders are down 13% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 10.0%. However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 5% per year over five years. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Befar GroupLtd better, we need to consider many other factors. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Befar GroupLtd (including 1 which is significant) .

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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