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Strong Week for Fujian Green Pine (SZSE:300132) Shareholders Doesn't Alleviate Pain of Three-year Loss

福建グリーンパイン(SZSE:300132)の株主にとって強い週は、3年間の赤字の痛みを和らげることができません。

Simply Wall St ·  05/09 20:23

It is doubtless a positive to see that the Fujian Green Pine Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300132) share price has gained some 64% in the last three months. But the last three years have seen a terrible decline. To wit, the share price sky-dived 78% in that time. So we're relieved for long term holders to see a bit of uplift. Of course the real question is whether the business can sustain a turnaround.

On a more encouraging note the company has added CN¥531m to its market cap in just the last 7 days, so let's see if we can determine what's driven the three-year loss for shareholders.

Fujian Green Pine wasn't profitable in the last twelve months, it is unlikely we'll see a strong correlation between its share price and its earnings per share (EPS). Arguably revenue is our next best option. Generally speaking, companies without profits are expected to grow revenue every year, and at a good clip. Some companies are willing to postpone profitability to grow revenue faster, but in that case one would hope for good top-line growth to make up for the lack of earnings.

In the last three years Fujian Green Pine saw its revenue shrink by 18% per year. That means its revenue trend is very weak compared to other loss making companies. The swift share price decline at an annual compound rate of 21%, reflects this weak fundamental performance. Never forget that loss making companies with falling revenue can and do cause losses for everyday investors. There is a good reason that investors often describe buying a sharply falling stock price as 'trying to catch a falling knife'. Think about it.

You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SZSE:300132 Earnings and Revenue Growth May 10th 2024

We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. So it makes a lot of sense to check out what analysts think Fujian Green Pine will earn in the future (free profit forecasts).

A Different Perspective

While the broader market lost about 9.7% in the twelve months, Fujian Green Pine shareholders did even worse, losing 14%. Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. However, the loss over the last year isn't as bad as the 10% per annum loss investors have suffered over the last half decade. We'd need to see some sustained improvements in the key metrics before we could muster much enthusiasm. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Fujian Green Pine you should know about.

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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