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Songcheng Performance Development Co.,Ltd's (SZSE:300144) Share Price Could Signal Some Risk

松城性能開発有限公司株式会社(SZSE:300144)の株価は何らかのリスクを示している可能性があります

Simply Wall St ·  05/12 20:33

With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 12.5x Songcheng Performance Development Co.,Ltd (SZSE:300144) may be sending very bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all the Hospitality companies in China have P/S ratios under 5.5x and even P/S lower than 2x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300144 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 13th 2024

How Songcheng Performance DevelopmentLtd Has Been Performing

Recent times have been advantageous for Songcheng Performance DevelopmentLtd as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. It seems the market expects this form will continue into the future, hence the elevated P/S ratio. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Songcheng Performance DevelopmentLtd.

How Is Songcheng Performance DevelopmentLtd's Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Songcheng Performance DevelopmentLtd's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, we see the company's revenues grew exponentially. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 110% overall rise in revenue, aided by its incredible short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 26% over the next year. With the industry predicted to deliver 26% growth , the company is positioned for a comparable revenue result.

With this information, we find it interesting that Songcheng Performance DevelopmentLtd is trading at a high P/S compared to the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

What Does Songcheng Performance DevelopmentLtd's P/S Mean For Investors?

We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Given Songcheng Performance DevelopmentLtd's future revenue forecasts are in line with the wider industry, the fact that it trades at an elevated P/S is somewhat surprising. Right now we are uncomfortable with the relatively high share price as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Songcheng Performance DevelopmentLtd that you should be aware of.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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