Shenzhen China Bicycle Company (Holdings) Limited (SZSE:000017) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 26% share price drop in the last month. Still, a bad month hasn't completely ruined the past year with the stock gaining 70%, which is great even in a bull market.
Even after such a large drop in price, given around half the companies in China's Leisure industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 3.1x, you may still consider Shenzhen China Bicycle Company (Holdings) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 9.7x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
What Does Shenzhen China Bicycle Company (Holdings)'s Recent Performance Look Like?
For instance, Shenzhen China Bicycle Company (Holdings)'s receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Shenzhen China Bicycle Company (Holdings)'s earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is Shenzhen China Bicycle Company (Holdings)'s Revenue Growth Trending?
Shenzhen China Bicycle Company (Holdings)'s P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 3.0%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 296% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would definitely welcome the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 23% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this in consideration, it's not hard to understand why Shenzhen China Bicycle Company (Holdings)'s P/S is high relative to its industry peers. Presumably shareholders aren't keen to offload something they believe will continue to outmanoeuvre the wider industry.
What Does Shenzhen China Bicycle Company (Holdings)'s P/S Mean For Investors?
Even after such a strong price drop, Shenzhen China Bicycle Company (Holdings)'s P/S still exceeds the industry median significantly. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
As we suspected, our examination of Shenzhen China Bicycle Company (Holdings) revealed its three-year revenue trends are contributing to its high P/S, given they look better than current industry expectations. In the eyes of shareholders, the probability of a continued growth trajectory is great enough to prevent the P/S from pulling back. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Plus, you should also learn about this 1 warning sign we've spotted with Shenzhen China Bicycle Company (Holdings).
If you're unsure about the strength of Shenzhen China Bicycle Company (Holdings)'s business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.