The most you can lose on any stock (assuming you don't use leverage) is 100% of your money. But if you buy shares in a really great company, you can more than double your money. For instance the Zhongman Petroleum and Natural Gas Group Corp.,Ltd. (SHSE:603619) share price is 173% higher than it was three years ago. That sort of return is as solid as granite. On top of that, the share price is up 45% in about a quarter. The company reported its financial results recently; you can catch up on the latest numbers by reading our company report.
Since the stock has added CN¥454m to its market cap in the past week alone, let's see if underlying performance has been driving long-term returns.
There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
During three years of share price growth, Zhongman Petroleum and Natural Gas GroupLtd moved from a loss to profitability. That kind of transition can be an inflection point that justifies a strong share price gain, just as we have seen here.
The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
![earnings-per-share-growth](https://usnewsfile.moomoo.com/public/MM-PersistNewsContentImage/7781/20240514/0-c850eb345f54d444d50fcaa90b763880-0-c20630f270b05c8550c5b9f4671e1eed.png/big)
We know that Zhongman Petroleum and Natural Gas GroupLtd has improved its bottom line over the last three years, but what does the future have in store? Take a more thorough look at Zhongman Petroleum and Natural Gas GroupLtd's financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.
What About Dividends?
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for Zhongman Petroleum and Natural Gas GroupLtd the TSR over the last 3 years was 181%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
A Different Perspective
It's nice to see that Zhongman Petroleum and Natural Gas GroupLtd shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 66% over the last year. Of course, that includes the dividend. That's better than the annualised return of 11% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Zhongman Petroleum and Natural Gas GroupLtd .
But note: Zhongman Petroleum and Natural Gas GroupLtd may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.