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Jiangxi Xinyu Guoke Technology Co., Ltd's (SZSE:300722) Shareholders Might Be Looking For Exit

江西新余国科技術株式会社(SZSE:300722)の株主は、出口を探しているかもしれません。

Simply Wall St ·  05/20 19:46

Jiangxi Xinyu Guoke Technology Co., Ltd's (SZSE:300722) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 14.1x may look like a poor investment opportunity when you consider close to half the companies in the Aerospace & Defense industry in China have P/S ratios below 7.8x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300722 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 20th 2024

What Does Jiangxi Xinyu Guoke Technology's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Jiangxi Xinyu Guoke Technology has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. Perhaps the market is expecting this decent revenue performance to beat out the industry over the near term, which has kept the P/S propped up. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Jiangxi Xinyu Guoke Technology will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

Jiangxi Xinyu Guoke Technology's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 21% gain to the company's top line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 49% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 33% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Jiangxi Xinyu Guoke Technology's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What Does Jiangxi Xinyu Guoke Technology's P/S Mean For Investors?

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our examination of Jiangxi Xinyu Guoke Technology revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. When we see slower than industry revenue growth but an elevated P/S, there's considerable risk of the share price declining, sending the P/S lower. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

Having said that, be aware Jiangxi Xinyu Guoke Technology is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, you should know about.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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