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Shanghai Milkground Food Tech Co., Ltd (SHSE:600882) Soars 29% But It's A Story Of Risk Vs Reward

上海ミルクグラウンドフードテック株式会社(SHSE:600882)は29%急騰していますが、リスクと報酬の物語です。

Simply Wall St ·  05/20 21:30

Shanghai Milkground Food Tech Co., Ltd (SHSE:600882) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 29% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 37% over that time.

Although its price has surged higher, it's still not a stretch to say that Shanghai Milkground Food Tech's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Food industry in China, where the median P/S ratio is around 1.7x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:600882 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 21st 2024

What Does Shanghai Milkground Food Tech's Recent Performance Look Like?

Shanghai Milkground Food Tech hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. It might be that many expect the dour revenue performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/S from falling. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a relatively elevated price for a company with this sort of growth profile.

Keen to find out how analysts think Shanghai Milkground Food Tech's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Shanghai Milkground Food Tech would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 13%. That put a dampener on the good run it was having over the longer-term as its three-year revenue growth is still a noteworthy 17% in total. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 20% during the coming year according to the eleven analysts following the company. With the industry only predicted to deliver 10%, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.

In light of this, it's curious that Shanghai Milkground Food Tech's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Final Word

Shanghai Milkground Food Tech's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Looking at Shanghai Milkground Food Tech's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook isn't giving the boost to its P/S that we would've expected. When we see a strong revenue outlook, with growth outpacing the industry, we can only assume potential uncertainty around these figures are what might be placing slight pressure on the P/S ratio. However, if you agree with the analysts' forecasts, you may be able to pick up the stock at an attractive price.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 1 warning sign for Shanghai Milkground Food Tech that you should be aware of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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