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Huadian Liaoning Energy Development Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600396) Stock Catapults 37% Though Its Price And Business Still Lag The Industry

中国の華電遼寧省エネルギー開発株式会社(SHSE:600396)は、業種に比べて価格やビジネスがまだ遅れているものの、株価が37%急騰しました。

Simply Wall St ·  05/20 23:11

Huadian Liaoning Energy Development Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600396) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 37% share price jump in the last month. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 44% in the last year.

Although its price has surged higher, Huadian Liaoning Energy DevelopmentLtd may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.9x, since almost half of all companies in the Electric Utilities industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 1.6x and even P/S higher than 4x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:600396 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 21st 2024

What Does Huadian Liaoning Energy DevelopmentLtd's Recent Performance Look Like?

For instance, Huadian Liaoning Energy DevelopmentLtd's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/S is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader industry in the near future. Those who are bullish on Huadian Liaoning Energy DevelopmentLtd will be hoping that this isn't the case so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Huadian Liaoning Energy DevelopmentLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Huadian Liaoning Energy DevelopmentLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 20%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 24% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 9.5% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this information, we are not surprised that Huadian Liaoning Energy DevelopmentLtd is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent revenue trends are already weighing down the shares.

The Final Word

The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Huadian Liaoning Energy DevelopmentLtd's P/S close to the industry median. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

It's no surprise that Huadian Liaoning Energy DevelopmentLtd maintains its low P/S off the back of its sliding revenue over the medium-term. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Huadian Liaoning Energy DevelopmentLtd you should be aware of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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