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There's Reason For Concern Over Zhejiang Unifull Industrial Fibre Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002427) Massive 30% Price Jump

浙江ユニフル工業繊維株式会社(SZSE:002427)の株価が30%急騰したことに対する懸念がある

Simply Wall St ·  05/21 18:55

Zhejiang Unifull Industrial Fibre Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002427) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 30% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 41% over that time.

Although its price has surged higher, there still wouldn't be many who think Zhejiang Unifull Industrial Fibre's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.7x is worth a mention when the median P/S in China's Luxury industry is similar at about 1.6x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002427 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 21st 2024

How Zhejiang Unifull Industrial Fibre Has Been Performing

The recent revenue growth at Zhejiang Unifull Industrial Fibre would have to be considered satisfactory if not spectacular. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to only match most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from rising. Those who are bullish on Zhejiang Unifull Industrial Fibre will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Zhejiang Unifull Industrial Fibre, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Zhejiang Unifull Industrial Fibre's Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Zhejiang Unifull Industrial Fibre's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 2.6%. Still, revenue has barely risen at all in aggregate from three years ago, which is not ideal. Therefore, it's fair to say that revenue growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 17% shows it's an unpleasant look.

In light of this, it's somewhat alarming that Zhejiang Unifull Industrial Fibre's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Key Takeaway

Zhejiang Unifull Industrial Fibre appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

We find it unexpected that Zhejiang Unifull Industrial Fibre trades at a P/S ratio that is comparable to the rest of the industry, despite experiencing declining revenues during the medium-term, while the industry as a whole is expected to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Zhejiang Unifull Industrial Fibre, and understanding should be part of your investment process.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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