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Earnings Not Telling The Story For Changzhou Galaxy Century Microelectronics Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:688689) After Shares Rise 25%

株式会社チャンジョウ・ギャラクシー・センチュリー・マイクロエレクトロニクス(上海証券取引所:688689)の株価が25%上昇した後、収益が物語を伝えていない

Simply Wall St ·  05/21 23:50

Changzhou Galaxy Century Microelectronics Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:688689) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 25% after a shaky period beforehand. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 21% over that time.

Following the firm bounce in price, Changzhou Galaxy Century MicroelectronicsLtd's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 36.9x might make it look like a sell right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 32x and even P/E's below 20x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.

As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at Changzhou Galaxy Century MicroelectronicsLtd over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:688689 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry May 22nd 2024
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Changzhou Galaxy Century MicroelectronicsLtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Does Growth Match The High P/E?

Changzhou Galaxy Century MicroelectronicsLtd's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 11% decrease to the company's bottom line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 30% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 38% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term earnings results is a sobering picture.

With this information, we find it concerning that Changzhou Galaxy Century MicroelectronicsLtd is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Bottom Line On Changzhou Galaxy Century MicroelectronicsLtd's P/E

Changzhou Galaxy Century MicroelectronicsLtd shares have received a push in the right direction, but its P/E is elevated too. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of Changzhou Galaxy Century MicroelectronicsLtd revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given the market is set to grow. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 3 warning signs for Changzhou Galaxy Century MicroelectronicsLtd (1 is significant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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