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Long Young Electronic (Kunshan) Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:301389) Stock Going Strong But Fundamentals Look Weak: What Implications Could This Have On The Stock?

Long Young Electronic(昆山)有限公司(SZSE:301389)の株式は堅調ですが、基本的なファンダメンタルズは弱く、株式にどのような影響を与えるか?

Simply Wall St ·  05/22 19:51

Long Young Electronic (Kunshan)'s (SZSE:301389) stock is up by a considerable 29% over the past three months. We, however wanted to have a closer look at its key financial indicators as the markets usually pay for long-term fundamentals, and in this case, they don't look very promising. Specifically, we decided to study Long Young Electronic (Kunshan)'s ROE in this article.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

How Is ROE Calculated?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Long Young Electronic (Kunshan) is:

4.4% = CN¥95m ÷ CN¥2.2b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.04.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

Long Young Electronic (Kunshan)'s Earnings Growth And 4.4% ROE

It is hard to argue that Long Young Electronic (Kunshan)'s ROE is much good in and of itself. Even when compared to the industry average of 6.3%, the ROE figure is pretty disappointing. For this reason, Long Young Electronic (Kunshan)'s five year net income decline of 6.1% is not surprising given its lower ROE. We reckon that there could also be other factors at play here. For instance, the company has a very high payout ratio, or is faced with competitive pressures.

So, as a next step, we compared Long Young Electronic (Kunshan)'s performance against the industry and were disappointed to discover that while the company has been shrinking its earnings, the industry has been growing its earnings at a rate of 6.4% over the last few years.

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:301389 Past Earnings Growth May 22nd 2024

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. If you're wondering about Long Young Electronic (Kunshan)'s's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

Is Long Young Electronic (Kunshan) Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Long Young Electronic (Kunshan)'s very high three-year median payout ratio of 105% over the last three years suggests that the company is paying its shareholders more than what it is earning and this explains the company's shrinking earnings. Paying a dividend beyond their means is usually not viable over the long term. You can see the 2 risks we have identified for Long Young Electronic (Kunshan) by visiting our risks dashboard for free on our platform here.

Additionally, Long Young Electronic (Kunshan) started paying a dividend only recently. So it looks like the management may have perceived that shareholders favor dividends even though earnings have been in decline.

Summary

On the whole, Long Young Electronic (Kunshan)'s performance is quite a big let-down. Particularly, its ROE is a huge disappointment, not to mention its lack of proper reinvestment into the business. As a result its earnings growth has also been quite disappointing. With that said, we studied the latest analyst forecasts and found that while the company has shrunk its earnings in the past, analysts expect its earnings to grow in the future. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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