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A Piece Of The Puzzle Missing From Hidili Industry International Development Limited's (HKG:1393) 26% Share Price Climb

恒鼎実業国際開発株式会社(HKG:1393)の株価上昇26%にはパズルの一部が欠けている

Simply Wall St ·  05/24 19:40

Hidili Industry International Development Limited (HKG:1393) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 26% after a shaky period beforehand. Still, the 30-day jump doesn't change the fact that longer term shareholders have seen their stock decimated by the 69% share price drop in the last twelve months.

Although its price has surged higher, given about half the companies operating in Hong Kong's Oil and Gas industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 0.8x, you may still consider Hidili Industry International Development as an attractive investment with its 0.2x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:1393 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 24th 2024

How Hidili Industry International Development Has Been Performing

For instance, Hidili Industry International Development's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/S is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader industry in the near future. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Hidili Industry International Development will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Hidili Industry International Development?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Hidili Industry International Development's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 43%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by an impressive 82% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would definitely welcome the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Comparing that to the industry, which is only predicted to deliver 1.7% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is stronger based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Hidili Industry International Development's P/S isn't as high compared to that of its industry peers. It looks like most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.

What Does Hidili Industry International Development's P/S Mean For Investors?

Despite Hidili Industry International Development's share price climbing recently, its P/S still lags most other companies. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We're very surprised to see Hidili Industry International Development currently trading on a much lower than expected P/S since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider industry forecast. When we see strong revenue with faster-than-industry growth, we assume there are some significant underlying risks to the company's ability to make money which is applying downwards pressure on the P/S ratio. It appears many are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because the persistence of these recent medium-term conditions would normally provide a boost to the share price.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Hidili Industry International Development you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Hidili Industry International Development, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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