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Should Weakness in Xinhuanet Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:603888) Stock Be Seen As A Sign That Market Will Correct The Share Price Given Decent Financials?

Xinhuanet株式会社(SHSE:603888)の株式の弱点は市場が適正な財務状況を考慮して株価を修正する兆候と見なすべきですか?

Simply Wall St ·  05/25 20:11

With its stock down 18% over the past three months, it is easy to disregard Xinhuanet (SHSE:603888). But if you pay close attention, you might find that its key financial indicators look quite decent, which could mean that the stock could potentially rise in the long-term given how markets usually reward more resilient long-term fundamentals. Specifically, we decided to study Xinhuanet's ROE in this article.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

How Is ROE Calculated?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Xinhuanet is:

8.0% = CN¥275m ÷ CN¥3.5b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.08 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

Xinhuanet's Earnings Growth And 8.0% ROE

When you first look at it, Xinhuanet's ROE doesn't look that attractive. However, the fact that the company's ROE is higher than the average industry ROE of 4.9%, is definitely interesting. However, Xinhuanet has seen a flattish net income growth over the past five years, which is not saying much. Remember, the company's ROE is a bit low to begin with, just that it is higher than the industry average. Hence, this goes some way in explaining the flat earnings growth.

We then compared Xinhuanet's net income growth with the industry and found that the company's growth figure is lower than the average industry growth rate of 1.8% in the same 5-year period, which is a bit concerning.

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:603888 Past Earnings Growth May 26th 2024

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Is Xinhuanet fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

Is Xinhuanet Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Despite having a moderate three-year median payout ratio of 38% (meaning the company retains62% of profits) in the last three-year period, Xinhuanet's earnings growth was more or les flat. Therefore, there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

Moreover, Xinhuanet has been paying dividends for seven years, which is a considerable amount of time, suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth.

Conclusion

Overall, we feel that Xinhuanet certainly does have some positive factors to consider. Yet, the low earnings growth is a bit concerning, especially given that the company has a respectable rate of return and is reinvesting a huge portion of its profits. By the looks of it, there could be some other factors, not necessarily in control of the business, that's preventing growth. Up till now, we've only made a short study of the company's growth data. So it may be worth checking this free detailed graph of Xinhuanet's past earnings, as well as revenue and cash flows to get a deeper insight into the company's performance.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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