When you see that almost half of the companies in the Real Estate industry in China have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.9x, Shanghai Guijiu Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600696) looks to be giving off some sell signals with its 2.6x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.
How Has Shanghai GuijiuLtd Performed Recently?
Shanghai GuijiuLtd has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this respectable revenue growth will be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Shanghai GuijiuLtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.How Is Shanghai GuijiuLtd's Revenue Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Shanghai GuijiuLtd would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 7.9% last year. The latest three year period has seen an incredible overall rise in revenue, even though the last 12 month performance was only fair. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a tremendous job of growing revenue over that time.
When compared to the industry's one-year growth forecast of 5.3%, the most recent medium-term revenue trajectory is noticeably more alluring
With this information, we can see why Shanghai GuijiuLtd is trading at such a high P/S compared to the industry. Presumably shareholders aren't keen to offload something they believe will continue to outmanoeuvre the wider industry.
The Key Takeaway
While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
We've established that Shanghai GuijiuLtd maintains its high P/S on the strength of its recent three-year growth being higher than the wider industry forecast, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential continued revenue growth in the future is great enough to warrant an inflated P/S. Unless the recent medium-term conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 2 warning signs for Shanghai GuijiuLtd (1 can't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.