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ShanXi C&Y Pharmaceutical Group Co.,LTD. (SZSE:300254) Stock Rockets 36% As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

投資家は予想よりも悲観的でないため、陝西 C&Y 医薬品グループ株式会社(SZSE:300254)の株価が36%急上昇しました。

Simply Wall St ·  05/27 18:13

ShanXi C&Y Pharmaceutical Group Co.,LTD. (SZSE:300254) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 36% gain in the last month alone. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 82% in the last year.

Although its price has surged higher, there still wouldn't be many who think ShanXi C&Y Pharmaceutical GroupLTD's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3.6x is worth a mention when the median P/S in China's Pharmaceuticals industry is similar at about 3.4x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300254 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 27th 2024

How Has ShanXi C&Y Pharmaceutical GroupLTD Performed Recently?

For example, consider that ShanXi C&Y Pharmaceutical GroupLTD's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think the company might still do enough to be in line with the broader industry in the near future. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for ShanXi C&Y Pharmaceutical GroupLTD, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

ShanXi C&Y Pharmaceutical GroupLTD's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 1.8%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 12% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 19% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

With this information, we find it concerning that ShanXi C&Y Pharmaceutical GroupLTD is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

The Final Word

ShanXi C&Y Pharmaceutical GroupLTD's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

The fact that ShanXi C&Y Pharmaceutical GroupLTD currently trades at a P/S on par with the rest of the industry is surprising to us since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term, all while the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards in the context of growing industry forecasts, it'd make sense to expect a possible share price decline on the horizon, sending the moderate P/S lower. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for ShanXi C&Y Pharmaceutical GroupLTD (of which 1 shouldn't be ignored!) you should know about.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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