If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Firstly, we'll want to see a proven return on capital employed (ROCE) that is increasing, and secondly, an expanding base of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. Having said that, from a first glance at Namchow Food Group (Shanghai) (SHSE:605339) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Namchow Food Group (Shanghai):
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.073 = CN¥256m ÷ (CN¥4.1b - CN¥649m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).
Thus, Namchow Food Group (Shanghai) has an ROCE of 7.3%. On its own, that's a low figure but it's around the 7.6% average generated by the Food industry.
While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you'd like to look at how Namchow Food Group (Shanghai) has performed in the past in other metrics, you can view this free graph of Namchow Food Group (Shanghai)'s past earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us
On the surface, the trend of ROCE at Namchow Food Group (Shanghai) doesn't inspire confidence. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 18%, but since then they've fallen to 7.3%. However it looks like Namchow Food Group (Shanghai) might be reinvesting for long term growth because while capital employed has increased, the company's sales haven't changed much in the last 12 months. It may take some time before the company starts to see any change in earnings from these investments.
On a side note, Namchow Food Group (Shanghai) has done well to pay down its current liabilities to 16% of total assets. That could partly explain why the ROCE has dropped. Effectively this means their suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of the business, which reduces some elements of risk. Since the business is basically funding more of its operations with it's own money, you could argue this has made the business less efficient at generating ROCE.
Our Take On Namchow Food Group (Shanghai)'s ROCE
To conclude, we've found that Namchow Food Group (Shanghai) is reinvesting in the business, but returns have been falling. And investors may be expecting the fundamentals to get a lot worse because the stock has crashed 70% over the last three years. All in all, the inherent trends aren't typical of multi-baggers, so if that's what you're after, we think you might have more luck elsewhere.
If you want to know some of the risks facing Namchow Food Group (Shanghai) we've found 2 warning signs (1 can't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
While Namchow Food Group (Shanghai) isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.