share_log

Jilin Chemical Fibre Stock Co.,Ltd (SZSE:000420) Stock Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Look Uncertain: What Lies Ahead ?

吉林化工纤维股份有限公司(SZSE:000420)の株価は強いが、基本的な運用が不確実:将来は何が待っているのか?

Simply Wall St ·  05/27 20:47

Jilin Chemical Fibre StockLtd (SZSE:000420) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 43% over the last three months. However, we decided to pay attention to the company's fundamentals which don't appear to give a clear sign about the company's financial health. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Jilin Chemical Fibre StockLtd's ROE today.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Jilin Chemical Fibre StockLtd is:

0.7% = CN¥32m ÷ CN¥4.4b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).

The 'return' is the yearly profit. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.01 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

Jilin Chemical Fibre StockLtd's Earnings Growth And 0.7% ROE

As you can see, Jilin Chemical Fibre StockLtd's ROE looks pretty weak. Even when compared to the industry average of 6.3%, the ROE figure is pretty disappointing. Given the circumstances, the significant decline in net income by 26% seen by Jilin Chemical Fibre StockLtd over the last five years is not surprising. We believe that there also might be other aspects that are negatively influencing the company's earnings prospects. For example, the business has allocated capital poorly, or that the company has a very high payout ratio.

However, when we compared Jilin Chemical Fibre StockLtd's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 7.8% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:000420 Past Earnings Growth May 28th 2024

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. If you're wondering about Jilin Chemical Fibre StockLtd's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

Is Jilin Chemical Fibre StockLtd Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Jilin Chemical Fibre StockLtd doesn't pay any regular dividends, meaning that the company is keeping all of its profits, which makes us wonder why it is retaining its earnings if it can't use them to grow its business. It looks like there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

Summary

On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by Jilin Chemical Fibre StockLtd can be open to many interpretations. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. That being so, the latest industry analyst forecasts show that the analysts are expecting to see a huge improvement in the company's earnings growth rate. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

これらの内容は、情報提供及び投資家教育のためのものであり、いかなる個別株や投資方法を推奨するものではありません。 更に詳しい情報
    コメントする