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Is Hangjin Technology (SZSE:000818) A Risky Investment?

Hangjin Technology (SZSE:000818) はリスキーな投資ですか?

Simply Wall St ·  05/27 22:35

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Hangjin Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000818) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

What Is Hangjin Technology's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2024 Hangjin Technology had CN¥1.31b of debt, an increase on CN¥658.4m, over one year. On the flip side, it has CN¥448.0m in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥861.7m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:000818 Debt to Equity History May 28th 2024

A Look At Hangjin Technology's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Hangjin Technology had liabilities of CN¥2.23b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥618.3m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥448.0m in cash and CN¥1.42b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥976.0m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Since publicly traded Hangjin Technology shares are worth a total of CN¥16.9b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Hangjin Technology's net debt to EBITDA ratio of about 1.9 suggests only moderate use of debt. And its commanding EBIT of 10.6 times its interest expense, implies the debt load is as light as a peacock feather. It is well worth noting that Hangjin Technology's EBIT shot up like bamboo after rain, gaining 78% in the last twelve months. That'll make it easier to manage its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Hangjin Technology's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Hangjin Technology burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

Based on what we've seen Hangjin Technology is not finding it easy, given its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow, but the other factors we considered give us cause to be optimistic. In particular, we are dazzled with its EBIT growth rate. When we consider all the elements mentioned above, it seems to us that Hangjin Technology is managing its debt quite well. But a word of caution: we think debt levels are high enough to justify ongoing monitoring. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Hangjin Technology you should be aware of.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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