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Pak Tak International Limited's (HKG:2668) 34% Price Boost Is Out Of Tune With Revenues

Pak Tak International Limited(HKG:2668)の34%の株価上昇は、収益に見合っていない。

Simply Wall St ·  05/29 18:49

Pak Tak International Limited (HKG:2668) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 34% after a shaky period beforehand. The last 30 days were the cherry on top of the stock's 815% gain in the last year, which is nothing short of spectacular.

Following the firm bounce in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Pak Tak International is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 4.1x, considering almost half the companies in Hong Kong's Luxury industry have P/S ratios below 0.7x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:2668 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 29th 2024

How Has Pak Tak International Performed Recently?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Pak Tak International over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Pak Tak International, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Pak Tak International?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Pak Tak International's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 44% decrease to the company's top line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 86% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 13% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Pak Tak International's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From Pak Tak International's P/S?

The strong share price surge has lead to Pak Tak International's P/S soaring as well. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Pak Tak International currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Pak Tak International (of which 2 are concerning!) you should know about.

If you're unsure about the strength of Pak Tak International's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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