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Guangzhou Tongda Auto Electric Co., Ltd's (SHSE:603390) On An Uptrend But Financial Prospects Look Pretty Weak: Is The Stock Overpriced?

広州トンダオートエレクトリック株式会社(SHSE: 603390)は上昇傾向にあるが、財務見通しが非常に弱いため、株価が過剰に評価されているか?

Simply Wall St ·  05/30 18:39

Most readers would already be aware that Guangzhou Tongda Auto Electric's (SHSE:603390) stock increased significantly by 19% over the past week. We, however wanted to have a closer look at its key financial indicators as the markets usually pay for long-term fundamentals, and in this case, they don't look very promising. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Guangzhou Tongda Auto Electric's ROE today.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Guangzhou Tongda Auto Electric is:

1.6% = CN¥25m ÷ CN¥1.6b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.02 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

A Side By Side comparison of Guangzhou Tongda Auto Electric's Earnings Growth And 1.6% ROE

As you can see, Guangzhou Tongda Auto Electric's ROE looks pretty weak. Even when compared to the industry average of 8.1%, the ROE figure is pretty disappointing. For this reason, Guangzhou Tongda Auto Electric's five year net income decline of 64% is not surprising given its lower ROE. We reckon that there could also be other factors at play here. Such as - low earnings retention or poor allocation of capital.

So, as a next step, we compared Guangzhou Tongda Auto Electric's performance against the industry and were disappointed to discover that while the company has been shrinking its earnings, the industry has been growing its earnings at a rate of 8.4% over the last few years.

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:603390 Past Earnings Growth May 30th 2024

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. If you're wondering about Guangzhou Tongda Auto Electric's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

Is Guangzhou Tongda Auto Electric Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Guangzhou Tongda Auto Electric has a high three-year median payout ratio of 71% (that is, it is retaining 29% of its profits). This suggests that the company is paying most of its profits as dividends to its shareholders. This goes some way in explaining why its earnings have been shrinking. With only a little being reinvested into the business, earnings growth would obviously be low or non-existent.

Additionally, Guangzhou Tongda Auto Electric has paid dividends over a period of four years, which means that the company's management is rather focused on keeping up its dividend payments, regardless of the shrinking earnings.

Summary

In total, we would have a hard think before deciding on any investment action concerning Guangzhou Tongda Auto Electric. Because the company is not reinvesting much into the business, and given the low ROE, it's not surprising to see the lack or absence of growth in its earnings. Until now, we have only just grazed the surface of the company's past performance by looking at the company's fundamentals. So it may be worth checking this free detailed graph of Guangzhou Tongda Auto Electric's past earnings, as well as revenue and cash flows to get a deeper insight into the company's performance.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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