Hebei Yangyuan ZhiHui Beverage Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603156) is about to trade ex-dividend in the next two days. The ex-dividend date occurs one day before the record date which is the day on which shareholders need to be on the company's books in order to receive a dividend. It is important to be aware of the ex-dividend date because any trade on the stock needs to have been settled on or before the record date. Therefore, if you purchase Hebei Yangyuan ZhiHui Beverage's shares on or after the 5th of June, you won't be eligible to receive the dividend, when it is paid on the 5th of June.
The company's next dividend payment will be CN¥1.60 per share, and in the last 12 months, the company paid a total of CN¥1.60 per share. Looking at the last 12 months of distributions, Hebei Yangyuan ZhiHui Beverage has a trailing yield of approximately 6.3% on its current stock price of CN¥25.56. Dividends are a major contributor to investment returns for long term holders, but only if the dividend continues to be paid. We need to see whether the dividend is covered by earnings and if it's growing.
Dividends are typically paid from company earnings. If a company pays more in dividends than it earned in profit, then the dividend could be unsustainable. Hebei Yangyuan ZhiHui Beverage distributed an unsustainably high 125% of its profit as dividends to shareholders last year. Without extenuating circumstances, we'd consider the dividend at risk of a cut. Yet cash flows are even more important than profits for assessing a dividend, so we need to see if the company generated enough cash to pay its distribution. Hebei Yangyuan ZhiHui Beverage paid out more free cash flow than it generated - 132%, to be precise - last year, which we think is concerningly high. It's hard to consistently pay out more cash than you generate without either borrowing or using company cash, so we'd wonder how the company justifies this payout level.
Hebei Yangyuan ZhiHui Beverage does have a large net cash position on the balance sheet, which could fund large dividends for a time, if the company so chose. Still, smart investors know that it is better to assess dividends relative to the cash and profit generated by the business. Paying dividends out of cash on the balance sheet is not long-term sustainable.
As Hebei Yangyuan ZhiHui Beverage's dividend was not well covered by either earnings or cash flow, we would be concerned that this dividend could be at risk over the long term.
Click here to see how much of its profit Hebei Yangyuan ZhiHui Beverage paid out over the last 12 months.
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Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?
Companies with falling earnings are riskier for dividend shareholders. If earnings decline and the company is forced to cut its dividend, investors could watch the value of their investment go up in smoke. Hebei Yangyuan ZhiHui Beverage's earnings per share have fallen at approximately 11% a year over the previous five years. When earnings per share fall, the maximum amount of dividends that can be paid also falls.
Another key way to measure a company's dividend prospects is by measuring its historical rate of dividend growth. In the past six years, Hebei Yangyuan ZhiHui Beverage has increased its dividend at approximately 6.4% a year on average. That's intriguing, but the combination of growing dividends despite declining earnings can typically only be achieved by paying out a larger percentage of profits. Hebei Yangyuan ZhiHui Beverage is already paying out a high percentage of its income, so without earnings growth, we're doubtful of whether this dividend will grow much in the future.
Final Takeaway
Has Hebei Yangyuan ZhiHui Beverage got what it takes to maintain its dividend payments? Not only are earnings per share declining, but Hebei Yangyuan ZhiHui Beverage is paying out an uncomfortably high percentage of both its earnings and cashflow to shareholders as dividends. This is a starkly negative combination that often suggests a dividend cut could be in the company's near future. It's not the most attractive proposition from a dividend perspective, and we'd probably give this one a miss for now.
Having said that, if you're looking at this stock without much concern for the dividend, you should still be familiar of the risks involved with Hebei Yangyuan ZhiHui Beverage. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Hebei Yangyuan ZhiHui Beverage you should be aware of.
If you're in the market for strong dividend payers, we recommend checking our selection of top dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.