With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 22x Zhejiang Yinlun Machinery Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002126) may be sending bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios greater than 31x and even P/E's higher than 59x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Zhejiang Yinlun MachineryLtd has been doing relatively well. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings performance might be less impressive moving forward. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Is There Any Growth For Zhejiang Yinlun MachineryLtd?
Zhejiang Yinlun MachineryLtd's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the market.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 55%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 96% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the eight analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 24% per year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be similar to the 25% each year growth forecast for the broader market.
With this information, we find it odd that Zhejiang Yinlun MachineryLtd is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.
The Key Takeaway
While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
We've established that Zhejiang Yinlun MachineryLtd currently trades on a lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is in line with the wider market. When we see an average earnings outlook with market-like growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/E ratio. It appears some are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide more support to the share price.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Zhejiang Yinlun MachineryLtd you should be aware of, and 1 of them is a bit concerning.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Zhejiang Yinlun MachineryLtd. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
