share_log

Shanghai LongYun Cultural Creation & Technology Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603729) May Have Run Too Fast Too Soon With Recent 27% Price Plummet

上海ロンユン文化創造技術グループ株式会社(SHSE:603729)は、最近27%の値下がりであまりに速く走りすぎた可能性がある

Simply Wall St ·  06/05 18:55

To the annoyance of some shareholders, Shanghai LongYun Cultural Creation & Technology Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603729) shares are down a considerable 27% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 11% share price drop.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, when almost half of the companies in China's Media industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.4x, you may still consider Shanghai LongYun Cultural Creation & Technology Group as a stock probably not worth researching with its 3.7x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:603729 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry June 5th 2024

What Does Shanghai LongYun Cultural Creation & Technology Group's Recent Performance Look Like?

Revenue has risen at a steady rate over the last year for Shanghai LongYun Cultural Creation & Technology Group, which is generally not a bad outcome. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this good revenue growth will be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Shanghai LongYun Cultural Creation & Technology Group, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Shanghai LongYun Cultural Creation & Technology Group?

Shanghai LongYun Cultural Creation & Technology Group's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 4.8% last year. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen an unpleasant 43% overall drop in revenue. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 12% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Shanghai LongYun Cultural Creation & Technology Group's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Final Word

Despite the recent share price weakness, Shanghai LongYun Cultural Creation & Technology Group's P/S remains higher than most other companies in the industry. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our examination of Shanghai LongYun Cultural Creation & Technology Group revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.

Plus, you should also learn about these 2 warning signs we've spotted with Shanghai LongYun Cultural Creation & Technology Group (including 1 which is significant).

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Shanghai LongYun Cultural Creation & Technology Group, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

これらの内容は、情報提供及び投資家教育のためのものであり、いかなる個別株や投資方法を推奨するものではありません。 更に詳しい情報
    コメントする