It is hard to get excited after looking at Shanxi Blue Flame Holding's (SZSE:000968) recent performance, when its stock has declined 7.8% over the past week. It seems that the market might have completely ignored the positive aspects of the company's fundamentals and decided to weigh-in more on the negative aspects. Stock prices are usually driven by a company's financial performance over the long term, and therefore we decided to pay more attention to the company's financial performance. Specifically, we decided to study Shanxi Blue Flame Holding's ROE in this article.
Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.
How Is ROE Calculated?
ROE can be calculated by using the formula:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shanxi Blue Flame Holding is:
7.8% = CN¥458m ÷ CN¥5.8b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).
The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.08 in profit.
Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?
So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.
A Side By Side comparison of Shanxi Blue Flame Holding's Earnings Growth And 7.8% ROE
When you first look at it, Shanxi Blue Flame Holding's ROE doesn't look that attractive. Next, when compared to the average industry ROE of 9.8%, the company's ROE leaves us feeling even less enthusiastic. Hence, the flat earnings seen by Shanxi Blue Flame Holding over the past five years could probably be the result of it having a lower ROE.
Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that the industry grew its earnings by 21% over the last few years.
Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. If you're wondering about Shanxi Blue Flame Holding's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.
Is Shanxi Blue Flame Holding Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?
Shanxi Blue Flame Holding's low three-year median payout ratio of 11%, (meaning the company retains89% of profits) should mean that the company is retaining most of its earnings and consequently, should see higher growth than it has reported.
Additionally, Shanxi Blue Flame Holding has paid dividends over a period of five years, which means that the company's management is determined to pay dividends even if it means little to no earnings growth.
Summary
On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by Shanxi Blue Flame Holding can be open to many interpretations. While the company does have a high rate of profit retention, its low rate of return is probably hampering its earnings growth. Having said that, looking at current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings growth rate is expected to see a huge improvement. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.