David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Fujian Nanping Sun Cable Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002300) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
What Is Fujian Nanping Sun Cable's Debt?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Fujian Nanping Sun Cable had CN¥2.56b in debt in March 2024; about the same as the year before. However, it also had CN¥671.4m in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥1.89b.
How Healthy Is Fujian Nanping Sun Cable's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Fujian Nanping Sun Cable had liabilities of CN¥2.93b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥1.12b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had CN¥671.4m in cash and CN¥1.88b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥1.50b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Fujian Nanping Sun Cable has a market capitalization of CN¥4.00b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
While Fujian Nanping Sun Cable's debt to EBITDA ratio of 5.5 suggests a heavy debt load, its interest coverage of 7.1 implies it services that debt with ease. Overall we'd say it seems likely the company is carrying a fairly heavy swag of debt. Unfortunately, Fujian Nanping Sun Cable's EBIT flopped 18% over the last four quarters. If earnings continue to decline at that rate then handling the debt will be more difficult than taking three children under 5 to a fancy pants restaurant. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Fujian Nanping Sun Cable will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, Fujian Nanping Sun Cable saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.
Our View
On the face of it, Fujian Nanping Sun Cable's EBIT growth rate left us tentative about the stock, and its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least it's pretty decent at covering its interest expense with its EBIT; that's encouraging. Overall, it seems to us that Fujian Nanping Sun Cable's balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. For this reason we're pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 2 warning signs with Fujian Nanping Sun Cable (at least 1 which is significant) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.