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Gaia, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:GAIA) Shares Leap 30% Yet They're Still Not Telling The Full Story

Gaia, Inc.(ナスダック:GAIA)の株式は30%急騰しましたが、まだ完全なストーリーは伝えられていません。

Simply Wall St ·  06/06 06:02

Gaia, Inc. (NASDAQ:GAIA) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 30% gain in the last month alone. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 79%.

Although its price has surged higher, it's still not a stretch to say that Gaia's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.3x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Entertainment industry in the United States, seeing as it matches the P/S ratio of the wider industry. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGM:GAIA Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry June 6th 2024

What Does Gaia's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Recent times haven't been great for Gaia as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance will turn around. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Keen to find out how analysts think Gaia's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

Gaia's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 3.3% last year. The latest three year period has also seen a 16% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been respectable for the company.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 19% during the coming year according to the sole analyst following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 11%, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we find it interesting that Gaia is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

What Does Gaia's P/S Mean For Investors?

Its shares have lifted substantially and now Gaia's P/S is back within range of the industry median. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Despite enticing revenue growth figures that outpace the industry, Gaia's P/S isn't quite what we'd expect. There could be some risks that the market is pricing in, which is preventing the P/S ratio from matching the positive outlook. This uncertainty seems to be reflected in the share price which, while stable, could be higher given the revenue forecasts.

Having said that, be aware Gaia is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, you should know about.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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