There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Firstly, we'll want to see a proven return on capital employed (ROCE) that is increasing, and secondly, an expanding base of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. However, after investigating Nantong Haixing Electronics (SHSE:603115), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.
What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Nantong Haixing Electronics:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.06 = CN¥123m ÷ (CN¥2.4b - CN¥329m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).
Therefore, Nantong Haixing Electronics has an ROCE of 6.0%. Even though it's in line with the industry average of 6.0%, it's still a low return by itself.
Historical performance is a great place to start when researching a stock so above you can see the gauge for Nantong Haixing Electronics' ROCE against it's prior returns. If you want to delve into the historical earnings , check out these free graphs detailing revenue and cash flow performance of Nantong Haixing Electronics.
What Can We Tell From Nantong Haixing Electronics' ROCE Trend?
On the surface, the trend of ROCE at Nantong Haixing Electronics doesn't inspire confidence. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 20%, but since then they've fallen to 6.0%. Meanwhile, the business is utilizing more capital but this hasn't moved the needle much in terms of sales in the past 12 months, so this could reflect longer term investments. It's worth keeping an eye on the company's earnings from here on to see if these investments do end up contributing to the bottom line.
On a related note, Nantong Haixing Electronics has decreased its current liabilities to 14% of total assets. So we could link some of this to the decrease in ROCE. What's more, this can reduce some aspects of risk to the business because now the company's suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of its operations. Since the business is basically funding more of its operations with it's own money, you could argue this has made the business less efficient at generating ROCE.
In Conclusion...
Bringing it all together, while we're somewhat encouraged by Nantong Haixing Electronics' reinvestment in its own business, we're aware that returns are shrinking. And in the last three years, the stock has given away 20% so the market doesn't look too hopeful on these trends strengthening any time soon. All in all, the inherent trends aren't typical of multi-baggers, so if that's what you're after, we think you might have more luck elsewhere.
If you'd like to know about the risks facing Nantong Haixing Electronics, we've discovered 1 warning sign that you should be aware of.
While Nantong Haixing Electronics isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.