Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600887) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
What Is Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group's Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2024 Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group had CN¥67.7b of debt, an increase on CN¥57.8b, over one year. However, it does have CN¥55.5b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥12.2b.
![debt-equity-history-analysis](https://usnewsfile.moomoo.com/public/MM-PersistNewsContentImage/7781/20240609/0-fd02dd03219f92a885d21d37e73e7ad6-0-f713a5ae7cf9d23d91580ffe846f2749.png/big)
A Look At Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group's Liabilities
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group had liabilities of CN¥81.2b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥16.9b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥55.5b and CN¥3.54b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CN¥39.1b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group has a huge market capitalization of CN¥171.7b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group has a low debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.79. But the really cool thing is that it actually managed to receive more interest than it paid, over the last year. So it's fair to say it can handle debt like a hotshot teppanyaki chef handles cooking. And we also note warmly that Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group grew its EBIT by 19% last year, making its debt load easier to handle. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 93% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.
Our View
Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. And the good news does not stop there, as its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow also supports that impression! Zooming out, Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group seems to use debt quite reasonably; and that gets the nod from us. After all, sensible leverage can boost returns on equity. Another positive for shareholders is that it pays dividends. So if you like receiving those dividend payments, check Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group's dividend history, without delay!
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.