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Shenzhen Forms Syntron Information Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300468) Popularity With Investors Is Under Threat From Overpricing

深センフォームシンクロントロン情報株式会社(SZSE 300468)の人気が過剰価格の脅威に直面しています。

Simply Wall St ·  06/09 21:28

When close to half the companies in the IT industry in China have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 3.2x, you may consider Shenzhen Forms Syntron Information Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300468) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 5.5x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300468 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry June 10th 2024

How Shenzhen Forms Syntron Information Has Been Performing

Shenzhen Forms Syntron Information has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. Perhaps the market is expecting this decent revenue performance to beat out the industry over the near term, which has kept the P/S propped up. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Shenzhen Forms Syntron Information, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Shenzhen Forms Syntron Information?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Shenzhen Forms Syntron Information's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 9.8% last year. The solid recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 19% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 43% shows it's noticeably less attractive.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Shenzhen Forms Syntron Information's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What Does Shenzhen Forms Syntron Information's P/S Mean For Investors?

Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our examination of Shenzhen Forms Syntron Information revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. When we see slower than industry revenue growth but an elevated P/S, there's considerable risk of the share price declining, sending the P/S lower. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term performance, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Shenzhen Forms Syntron Information (1 can't be ignored) you should be aware of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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