If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. Firstly, we'd want to identify a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and then alongside that, an ever-increasing base of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. However, after investigating Inner Mongolia Baotou Steel Union (SHSE:600010), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.
What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. To calculate this metric for Inner Mongolia Baotou Steel Union, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.025 = CN¥2.1b ÷ (CN¥153b - CN¥66b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).
So, Inner Mongolia Baotou Steel Union has an ROCE of 2.5%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Metals and Mining industry average of 6.7%.
![roce](https://usnewsfile.moomoo.com/public/MM-PersistNewsContentImage/7781/20240610/0-ff00d3ca44f5650846010fe80d526f7f-0-136347ac8a4d4bd50fb27e7ad4394f86.png/big)
In the above chart we have measured Inner Mongolia Baotou Steel Union's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free analyst report for Inner Mongolia Baotou Steel Union .
What Can We Tell From Inner Mongolia Baotou Steel Union's ROCE Trend?
On the surface, the trend of ROCE at Inner Mongolia Baotou Steel Union doesn't inspire confidence. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 9.0%, but since then they've fallen to 2.5%. However it looks like Inner Mongolia Baotou Steel Union might be reinvesting for long term growth because while capital employed has increased, the company's sales haven't changed much in the last 12 months. It's worth keeping an eye on the company's earnings from here on to see if these investments do end up contributing to the bottom line.
On a separate but related note, it's important to know that Inner Mongolia Baotou Steel Union has a current liabilities to total assets ratio of 43%, which we'd consider pretty high. This can bring about some risks because the company is basically operating with a rather large reliance on its suppliers or other sorts of short-term creditors. Ideally we'd like to see this reduce as that would mean fewer obligations bearing risks.
In Conclusion...
Bringing it all together, while we're somewhat encouraged by Inner Mongolia Baotou Steel Union's reinvestment in its own business, we're aware that returns are shrinking. And in the last five years, the stock has given away 14% so the market doesn't look too hopeful on these trends strengthening any time soon. On the whole, we aren't too inspired by the underlying trends and we think there may be better chances of finding a multi-bagger elsewhere.
On a separate note, we've found 1 warning sign for Inner Mongolia Baotou Steel Union you'll probably want to know about.
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.