Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Nancal Technology Co.,Ltd (SHSE:603859) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
What Is Nancal TechnologyLtd's Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2024 Nancal TechnologyLtd had debt of CN¥135.2m, up from CN¥75.9m in one year. However, it does have CN¥423.4m in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥288.3m.
How Healthy Is Nancal TechnologyLtd's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Nancal TechnologyLtd had liabilities of CN¥847.6m due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥81.3m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥423.4m in cash and CN¥1.52b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥1.01b more liquid assets than total liabilities.
It's good to see that Nancal TechnologyLtd has plenty of liquidity on its balance sheet, suggesting conservative management of liabilities. Given it has easily adequate short term liquidity, we don't think it will have any issues with its lenders. Succinctly put, Nancal TechnologyLtd boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
In addition to that, we're happy to report that Nancal TechnologyLtd has boosted its EBIT by 52%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Nancal TechnologyLtd can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. Nancal TechnologyLtd may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last three years, Nancal TechnologyLtd saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.
Summing Up
While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Nancal TechnologyLtd has CN¥288.3m in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. And it impressed us with its EBIT growth of 52% over the last year. So we don't think Nancal TechnologyLtd's use of debt is risky. Over time, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, so if you're interested in Nancal TechnologyLtd, you may well want to click here to check an interactive graph of its earnings per share history.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.