Stanley Agriculture Group Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:002588) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 11.1x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 30x and even P/E's above 55x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.
With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Stanley Agriculture GroupLtd has been doing relatively well. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
How Is Stanley Agriculture GroupLtd's Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as depressed as Stanley Agriculture GroupLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market decidedly.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 44% gain to the company's bottom line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 115% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 11% each year during the coming three years according to the sole analyst following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 25% per annum, which is noticeably more attractive.
With this information, we can see why Stanley Agriculture GroupLtd is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
The Final Word
Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Stanley Agriculture GroupLtd maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Stanley Agriculture GroupLtd (of which 1 is a bit unpleasant!) you should know about.
You might be able to find a better investment than Stanley Agriculture GroupLtd. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.