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Kaisa Capital Investment Holdings Limited's (HKG:936) 29% Share Price Plunge Could Signal Some Risk

Kaisa Capital Investment Holdings Limited(HKG:936)の株価が29%急落したことは、一定のリスクを示唆している可能性があります。

Simply Wall St ·  06/12 18:27

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Kaisa Capital Investment Holdings Limited (HKG:936) share price has dived 29% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 67% loss during that time.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, given close to half the companies in Hong Kong have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 9x, you may still consider Kaisa Capital Investment Holdings as a stock to avoid entirely with its 23.8x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

Kaisa Capital Investment Holdings has been doing a decent job lately as it's been growing earnings at a reasonable pace. It might be that many expect the reasonable earnings performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors' willingness to pay up for the stock. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:936 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry June 12th 2024
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Kaisa Capital Investment Holdings will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is Kaisa Capital Investment Holdings' Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Kaisa Capital Investment Holdings' to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow earnings per share by a handy 3.9% last year. Although, the latest three year period in total hasn't been as good as it didn't manage to provide any growth at all. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 21% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

In light of this, it's alarming that Kaisa Capital Investment Holdings' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Bottom Line On Kaisa Capital Investment Holdings' P/E

Even after such a strong price drop, Kaisa Capital Investment Holdings' P/E still exceeds the rest of the market significantly. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Kaisa Capital Investment Holdings currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider market forecast. When we see weak earnings with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for Kaisa Capital Investment Holdings you should be aware of, and 1 of them makes us a bit uncomfortable.

If you're unsure about the strength of Kaisa Capital Investment Holdings' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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