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Is Weakness In Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group) Corporation Limited (HKG:2411) Stock A Sign That The Market Could Be Wrong Given Its Strong Financial Prospects?

深セン塔婆インダストリアル(グループ)株式会社(HKG:2411)の弱点は、その強力な財務見通しに基づいて市場が間違っている可能性があることを示す兆候ですか?

Simply Wall St ·  06/12 20:15

Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group) (HKG:2411) has had a rough three months with its share price down 12%. However, stock prices are usually driven by a company's financial performance over the long term, which in this case looks quite promising. In this article, we decided to focus on Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group)'s ROE.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group) is:

10% = CN¥340m ÷ CN¥3.3b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. One way to conceptualize this is that for each HK$1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made HK$0.10 in profit.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group)'s Earnings Growth And 10% ROE

To start with, Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group)'s ROE looks acceptable. Even when compared to the industry average of 10% the company's ROE looks quite decent. This probably goes some way in explaining Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group)'s significant 21% net income growth over the past five years amongst other factors. We reckon that there could also be other factors at play here. For example, it is possible that the company's management has made some good strategic decisions, or that the company has a low payout ratio.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group)'s reported growth was lower than the industry growth of 31% over the last few years, which is not something we like to see.

past-earnings-growth
SEHK:2411 Past Earnings Growth June 13th 2024

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group) is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group) Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group)'s three-year median payout ratio is a pretty moderate 32%, meaning the company retains 68% of its income. This suggests that its dividend is well covered, and given the high growth we discussed above, it looks like Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group) is reinvesting its earnings efficiently.

While Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group) has been growing its earnings, it only recently started to pay dividends which likely means that the company decided to impress new and existing shareholders with a dividend. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company's future payout ratio is expected to drop to 22% over the next three years. However, the company's ROE is not expected to change by much despite the lower expected payout ratio.

Conclusion

In total, we are pretty happy with Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group)'s performance. In particular, it's great to see that the company is investing heavily into its business and along with a high rate of return, that has resulted in a respectable growth in its earnings. Having said that, the company's earnings growth is expected to slow down, as forecasted in the current analyst estimates. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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