When you buy and hold a stock for the long term, you definitely want it to provide a positive return. Better yet, you'd like to see the share price move up more than the market average. But The New York Times Company (NYSE:NYT) has fallen short of that second goal, with a share price rise of 49% over five years, which is below the market return. However, more recent buyers should be happy with the increase of 32% over the last year.
So let's assess the underlying fundamentals over the last 5 years and see if they've moved in lock-step with shareholder returns.
While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
During five years of share price growth, New York Times achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 13% per year. This EPS growth is higher than the 8% average annual increase in the share price. So one could conclude that the broader market has become more cautious towards the stock.
You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
NYSE:NYT Earnings Per Share Growth June 17th 2024
It is of course excellent to see how New York Times has grown profits over the years, but the future is more important for shareholders. Take a more thorough look at New York Times' financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.
What About Dividends?
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. We note that for New York Times the TSR over the last 5 years was 55%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
A Different Perspective
It's nice to see that New York Times shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 34% over the last year. And that does include the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 9% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand New York Times better, we need to consider many other factors. Even so, be aware that New York Times is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...
But note: New York Times may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content?Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com
長期的に株式を買い続ける場合、必ずしも正のリターンを得られるとは限りません。むしろ、市場平均よりも株価が上昇することを望んでいます。しかし、The New York Times Company (NYSE:NYT)はこのセカンドゴールには届かず、5年間の株価上昇率は市場リターンを下回る49%にとどまっています。ただし、より最近の買い手は1年間で32%増加したことを喜ぶべきです。
留意すべきは、この記事で引用されている市場リターンは、現在オーストラリア取引所で取引されている株式の市場加重平均リターンを反映しています。総株主収益株価収益株価収益株価リターンは株価の変化だけを反映するのに対し、TSRには配当(再投資された場合)、割引キャピタルレイジングまたはスピンオフの利益が含まれます。配当を支払う株式にとっては、TSRがより完全な情報を提供していると言えます。New York TimesのTSRは過去5年間で55%であり、前述の株価リターンよりも優れています。そして、配当支払いがこの差を主に説明していることは言うまでもありません。
New York Timesの株主は過去1年間で34%の総株主リターンを受け取っていることは良いことです。これには配当も含まれます。1年間のTSRが5年間のTSR(年平均9%)よりも良いので、株式のパフォーマンスが最近改善されていると考えられます。楽観的な見方をする人は、最近のTSRの改善が、ビジネス自体が時間とともに改善していることを示していると見なすことができます。株価パフォーマンスを長期的に追跡することは常に面白いですが、New York Timesをより良く理解するためには、多くの他の要因も考慮する必要があります。ただし、投資分析においてNew York Timesは1つの警告サインを示しているため、これを知っておく必要があります...
ただし、注意してください。New York Timesは最良の株ではないかもしれません。もう少し過去の利益成長(およびさらなる成長予測)を持つ興味深い企業の無料リストを見てください。
オーストラリアでは、moomooの投資商品及びサービスはMoomoo Securities Australia Limitedによって提供され、オーストラリア証券投資委員会(ASIC)の管理を受けております(AFSL No. 224663)。「金融サービスガイド」、「利用規約」、「プライバシーポリシー」などの詳細は、Moomoo Securities Australia Limitedのウェブサイトhttps://www.moomoo.com/auでご確認いただけます。
オーストラリアでは、moomooの投資商品及びサービスはMoomoo Securities Australia Limitedによって提供され、オーストラリア証券投資委員会(ASIC)の管理を受けております(AFSL No. 224663)。「金融サービスガイド」、「利用規約」、「プライバシーポリシー」などの詳細は、Moomoo Securities Australia Limitedのウェブサイトhttps://www.moomoo.com/auでご確認いただけます。