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Shenzhen Yanmade Technology Inc.'s (SHSE:688312) On An Uptrend But Financial Prospects Look Pretty Weak: Is The Stock Overpriced?

深センヤンメイドテクノロジー株式会社(SHSE:688312)が上昇傾向にあるが、財務見通しがかなり弱く、株価が高すぎるのか?

Simply Wall St ·  06/17 18:09

Most readers would already be aware that Shenzhen Yanmade Technology's (SHSE:688312) stock increased significantly by 21% over the past month. We, however wanted to have a closer look at its key financial indicators as the markets usually pay for long-term fundamentals, and in this case, they don't look very promising. Specifically, we decided to study Shenzhen Yanmade Technology's ROE in this article.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

How Is ROE Calculated?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shenzhen Yanmade Technology is:

5.5% = CN¥74m ÷ CN¥1.3b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

The 'return' is the yearly profit. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.05 in profit.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

A Side By Side comparison of Shenzhen Yanmade Technology's Earnings Growth And 5.5% ROE

When you first look at it, Shenzhen Yanmade Technology's ROE doesn't look that attractive. However, given that the company's ROE is similar to the average industry ROE of 6.3%, we may spare it some thought. Having said that, Shenzhen Yanmade Technology's five year net income decline rate was 7.5%. Bear in mind, the company does have a slightly low ROE. Hence, this goes some way in explaining the shrinking earnings.

That being said, we compared Shenzhen Yanmade Technology's performance with the industry and were concerned when we found that while the company has shrunk its earnings, the industry has grown its earnings at a rate of 6.4% in the same 5-year period.

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:688312 Past Earnings Growth June 17th 2024

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Shenzhen Yanmade Technology is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is Shenzhen Yanmade Technology Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

Shenzhen Yanmade Technology's declining earnings is not surprising given how the company is spending most of its profits in paying dividends, judging by its three-year median payout ratio of 61% (or a retention ratio of 39%). With only very little left to reinvest into the business, growth in earnings is far from likely. To know the 3 risks we have identified for Shenzhen Yanmade Technology visit our risks dashboard for free.

In addition, Shenzhen Yanmade Technology has been paying dividends over a period of three years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is preferred by the management even though earnings have been in decline.

Summary

Overall, we would be extremely cautious before making any decision on Shenzhen Yanmade Technology. Because the company is not reinvesting much into the business, and given the low ROE, it's not surprising to see the lack or absence of growth in its earnings. So far, we've only made a quick discussion around the company's earnings growth. So it may be worth checking this free detailed graph of Shenzhen Yanmade Technology's past earnings, as well as revenue and cash flows to get a deeper insight into the company's performance.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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