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Is Man Wah Holdings (HKG:1999) A Risky Investment?

Man Wah Holdings (HKG:1999)はリスクのある投資ですか?

Simply Wall St ·  06/17 19:39

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Man Wah Holdings Limited (HKG:1999) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

What Is Man Wah Holdings's Net Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Man Wah Holdings had HK$4.11b in debt in March 2024; about the same as the year before. However, it does have HK$3.55b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about HK$563.7m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:1999 Debt to Equity History June 17th 2024

How Healthy Is Man Wah Holdings' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Man Wah Holdings had liabilities of HK$6.43b falling due within a year, and liabilities of HK$304.2m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of HK$3.55b as well as receivables valued at HK$2.43b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by HK$748.4m.

Of course, Man Wah Holdings has a market capitalization of HK$23.6b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Man Wah Holdings has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.16. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 65.6 times over. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. Another good sign is that Man Wah Holdings has been able to increase its EBIT by 22% in twelve months, making it easier to pay down debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Man Wah Holdings's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Man Wah Holdings recorded free cash flow worth 52% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

Happily, Man Wah Holdings's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. And that's just the beginning of the good news since its net debt to EBITDA is also very heartening. Zooming out, Man Wah Holdings seems to use debt quite reasonably; and that gets the nod from us. While debt does bring risk, when used wisely it can also bring a higher return on equity. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Man Wah Holdings has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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