There wouldn't be many who think Shenzhen Techwinsemi Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:001309) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 5.7x is worth a mention when the median P/S for the Semiconductor industry in China is similar at about 6.1x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
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How Has Shenzhen Techwinsemi Technology Performed Recently?
Recent times have been advantageous for Shenzhen Techwinsemi Technology as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting this level of performance to taper off, keeping the P/S from soaring. If the company manages to stay the course, then investors should be rewarded with a share price that matches its revenue figures.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Shenzhen Techwinsemi Technology will help you uncover what's on the horizon.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Shenzhen Techwinsemi Technology's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 84%. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 150% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 58% as estimated by the two analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 35% growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Shenzhen Techwinsemi Technology's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.
The Final Word
We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
Looking at Shenzhen Techwinsemi Technology's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook isn't giving the boost to its P/S that we would've expected. There could be some risks that the market is pricing in, which is preventing the P/S ratio from matching the positive outlook. It appears some are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.
Having said that, be aware Shenzhen Techwinsemi Technology is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, you should know about.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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