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Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Zhejiang Garden Biopharmaceutical Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:300401) 31% Share Price Surge

なぜ投資家は、Zhejiang Garden Biopharmaceutical(浙江庭園生物製薬)の株価が31%上昇したことに驚かないべきなのか

Simply Wall St ·  06/25 18:31

Zhejiang Garden Biopharmaceutical Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300401) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 31% gain in the last month alone. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 28%.

Since its price has surged higher, given around half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 28x, you may consider Zhejiang Garden BiopharmaceuticalLtd as a stock to potentially avoid with its 33.3x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, Zhejiang Garden BiopharmaceuticalLtd's earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this poor earnings performance will turn the corner. If not, then existing shareholders may be extremely nervous about the viability of the share price.

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300401 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry June 25th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Zhejiang Garden BiopharmaceuticalLtd will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Does Growth Match The High P/E?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as high as Zhejiang Garden BiopharmaceuticalLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 16%. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 22% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 42% each year as estimated by the lone analyst watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 25% per annum, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we can see why Zhejiang Garden BiopharmaceuticalLtd is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

The Key Takeaway

Zhejiang Garden BiopharmaceuticalLtd's P/E is getting right up there since its shares have risen strongly. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Zhejiang Garden BiopharmaceuticalLtd maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Zhejiang Garden BiopharmaceuticalLtd you should know about.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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