When close to half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 28x, you may consider Foshan Golden Milky Way Intelligent Equipment Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300619) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 56.3x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.
For instance, Foshan Golden Milky Way Intelligent Equipment's receding earnings in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.
How Is Foshan Golden Milky Way Intelligent Equipment's Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Foshan Golden Milky Way Intelligent Equipment's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 43% decrease to the company's bottom line. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow EPS by an impressive 120% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would probably welcome the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 36% shows it's noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.
With this information, we find it concerning that Foshan Golden Milky Way Intelligent Equipment is trading at a P/E higher than the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
The Final Word
While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
We've established that Foshan Golden Milky Way Intelligent Equipment currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider market forecast. When we see weak earnings with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 6 warning signs for Foshan Golden Milky Way Intelligent Equipment (of which 2 are a bit concerning!) you should know about.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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