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We Think Unilumin Group (SZSE:300232) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

ユニリュミングループ(SZSE:300232)は債務のトップにいると考えています

Simply Wall St ·  06/26 01:00

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Unilumin Group Co., Ltd (SZSE:300232) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

What Is Unilumin Group's Debt?

As you can see below, Unilumin Group had CN¥855.9m of debt, at March 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥1.93b in cash, so it actually has CN¥1.07b net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:300232 Debt to Equity History June 26th 2024

How Healthy Is Unilumin Group's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Unilumin Group had liabilities of CN¥5.09b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥510.5m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had CN¥1.93b in cash and CN¥2.60b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥1.06b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Since publicly traded Unilumin Group shares are worth a total of CN¥5.41b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Unilumin Group boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

Shareholders should be aware that Unilumin Group's EBIT was down 70% last year. If that decline continues then paying off debt will be harder than selling foie gras at a vegan convention. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Unilumin Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. Unilumin Group may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last three years, Unilumin Group actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

Summing Up

While Unilumin Group does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of CN¥1.07b. And it impressed us with free cash flow of CN¥156m, being 155% of its EBIT. So we are not troubled with Unilumin Group's debt use. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Unilumin Group is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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