Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that JWIPC Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:001339) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
What Is JWIPC Technology's Net Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2024 JWIPC Technology had debt of CN¥305.9m, up from CN¥80.0m in one year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥675.5m in cash, so it actually has CN¥369.6m net cash.
A Look At JWIPC Technology's Liabilities
According to the last reported balance sheet, JWIPC Technology had liabilities of CN¥1.23b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥27.9m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥675.5m and CN¥513.2m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥68.0m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
This state of affairs indicates that JWIPC Technology's balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So while it's hard to imagine that the CN¥6.21b company is struggling for cash, we still think it's worth monitoring its balance sheet. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, JWIPC Technology boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
The modesty of its debt load may become crucial for JWIPC Technology if management cannot prevent a repeat of the 75% cut to EBIT over the last year. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine JWIPC Technology's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While JWIPC Technology has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, JWIPC Technology saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
Summing Up
While it is always sensible to look at a company's total liabilities, it is very reassuring that JWIPC Technology has CN¥369.6m in net cash. So while JWIPC Technology does not have a great balance sheet, it's certainly not too bad. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for JWIPC Technology you should be aware of, and 1 of them is a bit concerning.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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